Matchup Machine

Anthony Volpe

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matchup for Tanner Houck

246th out of 436 (Worst 44%)

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Tanner Houck

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matchup for Anthony Volpe

322nd out of 567 (Worst 43%)

Leans in favor of Volpe
2

Model Prediction

Anthony Volpe has a 32.3% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Houck, which is 0.0% higher than Volpe's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Houck.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.3%23.6%1.7%3.9%18.0%8.7%18.2%
Volpe0.0+1.0-0.6-1.1+2.7-1.0-6.0
Houck+0.5+1.5-0.4-0.5+2.4-1.0-1.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Anthony Volpe is worse vs right-handed pitching. Tanner Houck is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Volpe has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tanner Houck throws a Slider 40% of the time. Anthony Volpe has a C grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
40%
   Sinker (R)
28%
   Splitter (R)
15%
   4-Seam (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

14.3% of Anthony Volpe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. Tanner Houck strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.5% -1.6% 5%         Walk -0.9% +0.2% 39%         In Play +1.4% +1.4% 39%         On Base +1.2% +0.4% 31%         Hit +2.1% +0.3% 14%         Single +1.3% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B +1.5% +0.7% 3%         Home Run -0.6% -0.9%

History

Anthony Volpe has 11 plate appearances against Tanner Houck in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 8 with 3 walks

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual1181001230.125
Expected From Contact →2.120.000.032.080.265
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-28Groundout28%72%
2024-07-28Lineout82%17%
2024-07-28Pop Out2%3%95%
2024-07-05Walk
2024-07-05Single84%15%
2023-09-14Groundout4%96%
2023-09-14Walk
2023-09-14Strikeout
2023-06-16Walk
2023-06-10GIDP7%93%
2023-06-10Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.