Matchup Machine

Anthony Volpe

sometext

matchup for Freddy Peralta

106th out of 436 (Best 25%)

sometext

Freddy Peralta

sometext

matchup for Anthony Volpe

492nd out of 567 (Worst 13%)

Moderate advantage for Peralta
4

Model Prediction

Anthony Volpe has a 29.7% chance of reaching base vs Freddy Peralta, which is 2.9% lower than Volpe's typical expectations, and 1.0% lower than batters facing Peralta.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.7%19.2%2.4%4.6%12.2%10.5%34.2%
Volpe-2.9-4.3+0.1-0.5-3.9+1.4+9.8
Peralta-1.0+0.0-0.6-0.3+0.9-1.0+6.5

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Anthony Volpe is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Freddy Peralta is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Volpe has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

Left Arrow
Show Vertical Release

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Freddy Peralta throws a 4-seam fastball 53% of the time. Anthony Volpe has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
53%
   Slider (R)
22%
   Changeup (R)
14%
   Curve (R)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

14.2% of Anthony Volpe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. Freddy Peralta strikes out 21.6% of the batters he faces, which is 8.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.7% +8.7% 5%         Walk -1.4% +1.1% 39%         In Play +2.1% -9.8% 39%         On Base +1.7% -6.5% 31%         Hit +3.0% -7.7% 14%         Single +1.8% -3.7% 13%         2B / 3B +2.1% -3.7% 3%         Home Run -0.9% -0.3%

History

Anthony Volpe has 2 plate appearances against Freddy Peralta in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a home run and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221100100.500
Expected From Contact →0.001.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2025-03-27Home Run
2025-03-27Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.