Anthony Volpe has a 29.7% chance of reaching base vs Freddy Peralta, which is 2.9% lower than Volpe's typical expectations, and 1.0% lower than batters facing Peralta.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 29.7% | 19.2% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 34.2% |
Volpe | -2.9 | -4.3 | +0.1 | -0.5 | -3.9 | +1.4 | +9.8 |
Peralta | -1.0 | +0.0 | -0.6 | -0.3 | +0.9 | -1.0 | +6.5 |
Anthony Volpe is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Freddy Peralta is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Volpe has a D- grade vs this particular release point.
Freddy Peralta throws a 4-seam fastball 53% of the time. Anthony Volpe has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers
14.2% of Anthony Volpe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. Freddy Peralta strikes out 21.6% of the batters he faces, which is 8.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Anthony Volpe has 2 plate appearances against Freddy Peralta in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a home run and
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2025-03-27 | Home Run | ||||
2025-03-27 | Strikeout |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.