Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Gunnar Henderson

matchup for Bryce Miller

428th out of 436 (Worst 2%)

Bryce Miller

matchup for G. Henderson

364th out of 567 (Worst 36%)

Strong advantage for Henderson

Gunnar Henderson has a 36.2% chance of reaching base vs Bryce Miller, which is 0.3% higher than Henderson's typical expectations, and 6.9% higher than batters facing Miller.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	36.2%	23.9%	2.4%	5.5%	16.0%	12.2%	24.7%
Henderson	+0.3	-0.6	-0.5	-0.4	+0.3	+0.9	+2.9
Miller	+6.9	+3.5	+0.1	+1.1	+2.2	+3.4	-5.1

Gunnar Henderson is much better vs right-handed pitching. Bryce Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Henderson has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Bryce Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Gunnar Henderson has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

20%

Sinker (R)

13%

Splitter (R)

10%

8% of Bryce Miller's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Gunnar Henderson has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-2%

43% of Bryce Miller's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. Gunnar Henderson has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fast Velo 43%

+28%

High Ride 29%

+19%

Small Break 21%

+13%

Fastball (R) 64%

+10%

13.4% of Gunnar Henderson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% lower than the league average. Bryce Miller strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.0% +0.2% 3%

Walk +2.8% -2.5% 40%

In Play -0.8% +2.3% 39%

On Base +6.1% -3.2% 31%

Hit +3.3% -0.7% 14%

Single +1.4% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B +1.8% -0.4% 3%

Home Run +0.2% +0.5%

37.0% of Gunnar Henderson's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.6% higher than the league average. Bryce Miller induces Standard Grounders at a 30.4% rate, which is 4.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +2.6% -4.0% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.8% +2.0% 14%

Low Screamer -3.7% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner +1.9% +1.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.3% +0.9% 3%

Likely Homer +1.8% -1.2% 1%

No Doubter +0.5% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -4.0% +5.4% 3%

Pop up -1.3% -0.9%

37.7% of Gunnar Henderson's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 13.4% higher than the league average. 25.8% of batted balls allowed by Bryce Miller are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -5.5% -2.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph -5.1% -3.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.4% -0.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.4% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +13.4% +1.5%

10.3% of Gunnar Henderson's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Bryce Miller are hit at this angle, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +2.2% +0.5% 12%

-10 to 0° +3.7% -2.6% 8%

1 to 6° +1.4% +0.2% 18%

7 to 18° -0.4% +1.3% 15%

19 to 28° -1.3% -1.0% 11%

29 to 38° -1.1% -2.5% 7%

39 to 50° -1.6% +2.4% 8%

Above 50° -2.7% +1.7%

Gunnar Henderson has 11 plate appearances against Bryce Miller in the last 3 years. He is 5 for 10 with 2 home runs, a double and a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	11	10	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.500
Expected From Contact →			5.60	1.53	1.83	2.24			0.560

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-04	Single			6%	94%
2024-07-04	Home Run	72%	17%	1%	10%
2024-07-04	Double	16%	78%	2%	4%
2024-05-17	Forceout			11%	88%
2024-05-17	Groundout		2%	38%	61%
2024-05-17	Home Run	41%	40%		18%
2023-08-13	Sac Fly		9%	6%	85%
2023-08-13	Lineout	24%	34%	23%	20%
2023-08-13	Walk
2023-06-24	Single		3%	78%	19%
2023-06-24	Groundout			58%	41%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe