Matchup Machine

Gunnar Henderson

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

331st out of 436 (Worst 24%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for G. Henderson

490th out of 567 (Worst 14%)

Leans in favor of Henderson
2

Model Prediction

Gunnar Henderson has a 32.8% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 3.1% lower than Henderson's typical expectations, and 2.9% higher than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.8%21.7%2.0%5.5%14.2%11.1%24.5%
Henderson-3.1-2.8-0.9-0.5-1.4-0.3+2.7
Weathers+2.9+0.1-0.1-0.1+0.3+2.8-0.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Gunnar Henderson is much worse vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Henderson has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Gunnar Henderson has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

13.4% of Gunnar Henderson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.0% -2.1% 3%         Walk +2.8% -0.6% 40%         In Play -0.8% +2.7% 39%         On Base +6.1% +0.9% 31%         Hit +3.3% +1.5% 14%         Single +1.4% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B +1.8% +1.2% 3%         Home Run +0.2% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years