Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Gunnar Henderson

matchup for C. Hernandez

430th out of 436 (Worst 2%)

Carlos Hernandez

matchup for G. Henderson

107th out of 567 (Best 20%)

Extreme advantage for Henderson

Gunnar Henderson has a 39.0% chance of reaching base vs Carlos Hernandez, which is 3.1% higher than Henderson's typical expectations, and 6.7% higher than batters facing Hernandez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	39.0%	25.4%	3.5%	7.4%	14.5%	13.6%	21.7%
Henderson	+3.1	+0.9	+0.6	+1.5	-1.2	+2.2	-0.1
Hernandez	+6.7	+3.9	+0.4	+1.6	+1.9	+2.8	-2.2

Gunnar Henderson is much better vs right-handed pitching. Carlos Hernandez is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Henderson has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Carlos Hernandez throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Gunnar Henderson has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

19%

Curve (R)

Kn-Curve (R)

Splitter (R)

Sinker (R)

14% of Carlos Hernandez's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Gunnar Henderson has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Likely Ball 19%

+0%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 4%

-2%

26% of Carlos Hernandez's pitches are classified as Extreme Fast Velocity, which is 23% higher than the MLB average. Gunnar Henderson hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Fast Velo 26%

+23%

Medium Break 38%

+19%

High Ride 25%

+15%

13.4% of Gunnar Henderson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% lower than the league average. Carlos Hernandez strikes out 14.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.0% -1.8% 3%

Walk +2.8% +2.0% 40%

In Play -0.8% -0.2% 39%

On Base +6.1% +0.9% 31%

Hit +3.3% -1.1% 14%

Single +1.4% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B +1.8% -0.7% 3%

Home Run +0.2% +0.6%

37.0% of Gunnar Henderson's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.6% higher than the league average. Carlos Hernandez induces Standard Grounders at a 27.5% rate, which is 6.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% +0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +2.6% -6.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.8% -1.3% 14%

Low Screamer -3.7% -2.9% 9%

Rising Liner +1.9% +1.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.3% +2.8% 3%

Likely Homer +1.8% +0.7% 1%

No Doubter +0.5% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -4.0% +4.2% 3%

Pop up -1.3% +2.7%

37.7% of Gunnar Henderson's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 13.4% higher than the league average. 23.4% of batted balls allowed by Carlos Hernandez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -5.5% -4.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -5.1% -0.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.4% +1.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.4% +3.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +13.4% -0.9%

10.3% of Gunnar Henderson's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. 11.9% of batted balls allowed by Carlos Hernandez are hit at this angle, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +2.2% -6.5% 12%

-10 to 0° +3.7% +0.4% 8%

1 to 6° +1.4% -2.5% 18%

7 to 18° -0.4% -0.3% 15%

19 to 28° -1.3% +1.1% 11%

29 to 38° -1.1% +0.4% 7%

39 to 50° -1.6% +2.0% 8%

Above 50° -2.7% +5.4%

Gunnar Henderson has 2 plate appearances against Carlos Hernandez in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1 with a double and a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	1	1	0	1	0	0	1	1.000
Expected From Contact →			0.84	0.00	0.75	0.09			0.842

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-06-11	Double		75%	9%	16%
2023-05-02	Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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