matchup for Joe Ryan
matchup for G. Henderson
3
Gunnar Henderson has a 32.3% chance of reaching base vs Joe Ryan, which is 3.8% lower than Henderson's typical expectations, and 5.3% higher than batters facing Ryan.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 32.3% | 23.5% | 2.6% | 6.6% | 14.3% | 8.8% | 27.6% |
| Henderson | -3.8 | -0.9 | -0.2 | +0.7 | -1.3 | -2.9 | +5.9 |
| Ryan | +5.3 | +3.1 | +0.0 | +1.2 | +1.9 | +2.2 | -1.3 |
Gunnar Henderson is much better vs right-handed pitching. Joe Ryan is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Henderson has an A grade vs this particular release point.
Joe Ryan throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Gunnar Henderson has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
56%
Slider (R)
19%
Splitter (R)
16%
9% of Joe Ryan's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Gunnar Henderson has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Meatball
9%
+3%
Mid Challenge
13%
+2%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+1%
Strong Challenge
6%
+1%
Chaser
6%
0%
Likely Ball
17%
-2%
Weak Challenge
5%
-3%
Non-Competitive
9%
-3%
49% of Joe Ryan's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. Gunnar Henderson has a B grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Large Break
49%
+28%
Low Ride
39%
+16%
Medium Fast Velo
28%
+13%
Offspeed (R)
20%
+9%
13.4% of Gunnar Henderson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% lower than the league average. Joe Ryan strikes out 16.9% of the batters he faces, which is 4.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.
15%
Strikeout
-2.0%
+4.7%
3%
Walk
+2.8%
-3.3%
40%
In Play
-0.8%
-1.4%
39%
On Base
+6.1%
-8.1%
31%
Hit
+3.3%
-4.7%
14%
Single
+1.4%
-3.0%
13%
2B / 3B
+1.8%
-2.7%
3%
Home Run
+0.2%
+0.9%
36.9% of Gunnar Henderson's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. Joe Ryan induces Standard Grounders at a 34.0% rate, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.4%
-0.7%
34%
Standard Grounder
+2.5%
-0.4%
7%
Hard Grounder
+2.8%
-2.7%
14%
Low Screamer
-3.6%
-0.7%
9%
Rising Liner
+1.9%
-2.2%
4%
Maybe Homer
-0.3%
0.0%
3%
Likely Homer
+1.8%
-1.0%
1%
No Doubter
+0.5%
+0.8%
20%
Routine Flyout
-4.0%
+3.0%
3%
Pop up
-1.2%
+3.8%
37.8% of Gunnar Henderson's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 13.5% higher than the league average. 22.9% of batted balls allowed by Joe Ryan are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-5.5%
+5.1%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-5.2%
-1.1%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-2.4%
-0.4%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-0.5%
-2.3%
24%
Above 100 mph
+13.5%
-1.3%
10.3% of Gunnar Henderson's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. 11.9% of batted balls allowed by Joe Ryan are hit at this angle, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+2.1%
-2.0%
12%
-10 to 0°
+3.7%
-0.4%
8%
1 to 6°
+1.4%
-1.8%
18%
7 to 18°
-0.5%
-1.1%
15%
19 to 28°
-1.3%
-1.9%
11%
29 to 38°
-1.1%
+0.5%
7%
39 to 50°
-1.6%
+0.5%
8%
Above 50°
-2.7%
+6.3%
Gunnar Henderson has 3 plate appearances against Joe Ryan in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a strikeout.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.000 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2023-07-09 | Flyout | ||||
| 2023-07-09 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2023-07-09 | Single | ||||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
