Matchup Machine

Gunnar Henderson

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matchup for Martin Perez

315th out of 436 (Worst 28%)

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Martin Perez

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matchup for G. Henderson

272nd out of 567 (Best 49%)

Extreme advantage for Henderson
9

Model Prediction

Gunnar Henderson has a 36.5% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 0.6% higher than Henderson's typical expectations, and 1.9% higher than batters facing Perez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction36.5%25.1%2.9%5.0%17.1%11.4%18.7%
Henderson+0.6+0.6+0.1-1.0+1.5+0.1-3.1
Perez+1.9-0.2-0.1-0.3+0.2+2.1+0.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Gunnar Henderson is much worse vs left-handed pitching. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Henderson has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Gunnar Henderson has a D grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
34%
   Changeup (L)
25%
   Cutter (L)
25%
   4-Seam (L)
8%
   Curve (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

13.4% of Gunnar Henderson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% lower than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.0% -6.1% 3%         Walk +2.8% -0.3% 40%         In Play -0.8% +6.4% 39%         On Base +6.1% +5.9% 31%         Hit +3.3% +6.3% 14%         Single +1.4% +3.5% 13%         2B / 3B +1.8% +3.3% 3%         Home Run +0.2% -0.6%

History

No History in the last 3 years