Matchup Machine

Corbin Carroll

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matchup for Zac Gallen

345th out of 436 (Worst 21%)

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Zac Gallen

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matchup for Corbin Carroll

327th out of 567 (Worst 43%)

Moderate advantage for Carroll
5

Model Prediction

Corbin Carroll has a 35.2% chance of reaching base vs Zac Gallen, which is 1.8% higher than Carroll's typical expectations, and 2.5% higher than batters facing Gallen.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.2%19.6%3.2%4.3%12.1%15.6%27.9%
Carroll+1.8-2.10.0-0.7-1.4+3.9+5.8
Gallen+2.5-1.4+0.4-0.8-1.0+3.9-2.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Corbin Carroll is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Zac Gallen is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Carroll has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Zac Gallen throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Corbin Carroll has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Kn-Curve (R)
23%
   Changeup (R)
14%
   Cutter (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

12.3% of Corbin Carroll's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. Zac Gallen strikes out 17.8% of the batters he faces, which is 3.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -3.9% +3.5% 3%         Walk +3.6% -0.3% 39%         In Play +0.3% -3.2% 39%         On Base +2.1% -1.8% 31%         Hit -1.6% -1.5% 14%         Single -1.7% -0.9% 13%         2B / 3B -1.3% -0.5% 3%         Home Run +1.4% -0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years