Matchup Machine

Corbin Carroll

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matchup for Clarke Schmidt

351st out of 436 (Worst 20%)

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Clarke Schmidt

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matchup for Corbin Carroll

398th out of 567 (Worst 30%)

Moderate advantage for Carroll
4

Model Prediction

Corbin Carroll has a 34.2% chance of reaching base vs Clarke Schmidt, which is 0.8% higher than Carroll's typical expectations, and 2.2% higher than batters facing Schmidt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.2%18.0%2.5%3.8%11.7%16.2%23.0%
Carroll+0.8-3.7-0.7-1.2-1.8+4.5+1.0
Schmidt+2.2-1.6+0.1-0.3-1.4+3.8-1.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Corbin Carroll is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Clarke Schmidt is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Carroll has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Clarke Schmidt throws a Slider 28% of the time. Corbin Carroll has an A grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
28%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Kn-Curve (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

12.3% of Corbin Carroll's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. Clarke Schmidt strikes out 15.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -3.9% +0.3% 3%         Walk +3.6% +1.6% 39%         In Play +0.3% -1.9% 39%         On Base +2.1% -0.3% 31%         Hit -1.6% -2.0% 14%         Single -1.7% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -1.3% -0.8% 3%         Home Run +1.4% 0.0%

History

Corbin Carroll has 3 plate appearances against Clarke Schmidt in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual331001000.333
Expected From Contact →1.420.000.311.110.473
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-09-25Lineout30%54%16%
2023-09-25Groundout11%89%
2023-09-25Single46%54%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.