Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Corbin Carroll

matchup for Tyler Mahle

300th out of 436 (Worst 31%)

Tyler Mahle

matchup for Corbin Carroll

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Carroll

Corbin Carroll has a 30.8% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Mahle, which is 2.6% lower than Carroll's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Mahle.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.8%	19.9%	3.7%	4.2%	12.0%	10.9%	22.4%
Carroll	-2.6	-1.7	+0.5	-0.8	-1.5	-0.8	+0.4
Mahle	+0.4	-1.1	+0.3	0.0	-1.4	+1.5	-2.8

Corbin Carroll is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Tyler Mahle is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Carroll has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Tyler Mahle throws a 4-seam fastball 55% of the time. Corbin Carroll has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

55%

Slider (R)

19%

Splitter (R)

16%

Curve (R)

9% of Tyler Mahle's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Corbin Carroll has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 9%

+2%

Fringe Miss 14%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Mid Challenge 11%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Non-Competitive 11%

-1%

Weak Challenge 4%

-4%

54% of Tyler Mahle's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 33% higher than the MLB average. Corbin Carroll has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 54%

+33%

Medium Fast Velo 24%

+9%

Medium Ride 22%

+8%

12.3% of Corbin Carroll's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. Tyler Mahle strikes out 23.6% of the batters he faces, which is 10.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -3.9% +10.2% 3%

Walk +3.6% -1.2% 39%

In Play +0.3% -9.0% 39%

On Base +2.1% -5.6% 31%

Hit -1.6% -4.3% 14%

Single -1.7% -1.6% 13%

2B / 3B -1.3% -1.4% 3%

Home Run +1.4% -1.4%

37.3% of Corbin Carroll's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.9% higher than the league average. Tyler Mahle induces Standard Grounders at a 32.1% rate, which is 2.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.0% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +2.9% -2.3% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.6% -2.1% 14%

Low Screamer +0.0% -0.6% 9%

Rising Liner -0.8% -0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.4% +1.1% 3%

Likely Homer -1.0% +0.2% 1%

No Doubter +0.2% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -6.3% +3.0% 3%

Pop up +3.2% +1.2%

30.3% of Corbin Carroll's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 6.0% higher than the league average. 21.4% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Mahle are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +1.9% -0.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.7% -0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.9% +1.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -3.3% +3.0% 24%

Above 100 mph +6.0% -3.0%

9.3% of Corbin Carroll's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.1% lower than the league average. 14.3% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Mahle are hit at this angle, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%