Matchup Machine

Corbin Carroll

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matchup for Erick Fedde

347th out of 436 (Worst 21%)

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Erick Fedde

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matchup for Corbin Carroll

270th out of 567 (Best 48%)

Strong advantage for Carroll
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Model Prediction

Corbin Carroll has a 33.2% chance of reaching base vs Erick Fedde, which is 0.2% higher than Carroll's typical expectations, and 1.0% higher than batters facing Fedde.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.2%21.3%3.3%4.6%13.5%11.8%16.5%
Carroll-0.2-0.3+0.0-0.4+0.0+0.1-5.5
Fedde+1.0-1.6+0.7-0.7-1.5+2.6-2.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Corbin Carroll is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Erick Fedde is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Carroll has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Erick Fedde throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Corbin Carroll has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
40%
   Cutter (R)
25%
   Curve (R)
17%
   Changeup (R)
8%
   Slider (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

12.3% of Corbin Carroll's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. Erick Fedde strikes out 15.4% of the batters he faces, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -3.9% -0.7% 3%         Walk +3.6% -1.3% 39%         In Play +0.3% +2.1% 39%         On Base +2.1% +0.7% 31%         Hit -1.6% +2.1% 14%         Single -1.7% +0.8% 13%         2B / 3B -1.3% +1.3% 3%         Home Run +1.4% 0.0%

History

Corbin Carroll has 3 plate appearances against Erick Fedde in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 3 with 2 doubles and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual332020100.667
Expected From Contact →1.290.000.720.560.430
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-15Double71%26%3%
2024-06-15Double1%31%68%
2024-06-15Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.