Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Riley Greene

matchup for Clarke Schmidt

391st out of 436 (Worst 11%)

Clarke Schmidt

matchup for Riley Greene

210th out of 567 (Best 38%)

Strong advantage for Greene

Riley Greene has a 36.3% chance of reaching base vs Clarke Schmidt, which is 3.4% higher than Greene's typical expectations, and 4.3% higher than batters facing Schmidt.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	36.3%	18.3%	2.6%	4.1%	11.6%	17.9%	24.7%
Greene	+3.4	-3.1	-0.5	-0.6	-1.9	+6.5	-2.2
Schmidt	+4.3	-1.2	+0.1	+0.1	-1.5	+5.6	-0.3

Riley Greene is better vs right-handed pitching. Clarke Schmidt is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Greene has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Clarke Schmidt throws a Slider 28% of the time. Riley Greene has a C+ grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

28%

Cutter (R)

24%

Sinker (R)

23%

Kn-Curve (R)

19%

11% of Clarke Schmidt's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Riley Greene has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 11%

+3%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Mid Challenge 11%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

Likely Ball 19%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-2%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

34% of Clarke Schmidt's pitches are classified as Just Gravity, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Riley Greene has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Just Gravity 34%

+21%

Breaking (R) 47%

+16%

Slow Velo 29%

+14%

Large Break 18%

+13%

16.1% of Riley Greene's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.6% higher than the league average. Clarke Schmidt strikes out 15.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.6% +0.3% 4%

Walk +0.4% +1.6% 41%

In Play -2.9% -1.9% 39%

On Base -0.5% -0.3% 31%

Hit -0.9% -2.0% 14%

Single -1.2% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B -1.0% -0.8% 3%

Home Run +1.3% 0.0%

36.5% of Riley Greene's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.1% higher than the league average. Clarke Schmidt induces Standard Grounders at a 33.7% rate, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +2.1% -0.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.0% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer -6.3% +0.7% 9%

Rising Liner +2.5% -1.7% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.2% -0.6% 3%

Likely Homer +1.5% +0.2% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% -0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.2% -1.4% 3%

Pop up -2.1% +3.3%

36.0% of Riley Greene's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.7% higher than the league average. 22.7% of batted balls allowed by Clarke Schmidt are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.7% -0.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.6% +2.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.9% +1.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.4% -1.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +11.7% -1.6%

12.7% of Riley Greene's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.3% higher than the league average. 12.8% of batted balls allowed by Clarke Schmidt are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +2.4% -0.3% 12%

-10 to 0° +0.5% -1.0% 8%

1 to 6° -0.3% +1.2% 18%

7 to 18° +2.6% -1.1% 15%

19 to 28° -0.5% -3.7% 11%

29 to 38° +1.3% +1.3% 7%

39 to 50° -1.8% -0.9% 8%

Above 50° -4.1% +4.4%

Riley Greene has 6 plate appearances against Clarke Schmidt in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 6 with a home run and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	6	6	3	1	0	2	1	0	0.500
Expected From Contact →			2.07	0.95	0.25	0.87			0.345

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-05-04	Hit By Pitch
2024-05-04	Strikeout
2024-05-04	Home Run	95%	3%		2%
2023-08-31	Single		3%	71%	27%
2023-08-31	Single		20%	14%	66%
2023-08-31	GIDP			2%	98%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe