Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Riley Greene

matchup for Chris Bassitt

163rd out of 436 (Best 38%)

Chris Bassitt

matchup for Riley Greene

297th out of 567 (Worst 48%)

Moderate advantage for Greene

Riley Greene has a 34.9% chance of reaching base vs Chris Bassitt, which is 2.0% higher than Greene's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Bassitt.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.9%	21.1%	2.4%	4.1%	14.5%	13.8%	26.2%
Greene	+2.0	-0.3	-0.7	-0.6	+1.0	+2.3	-0.6
Bassitt	-0.4	-3.2	+0.2	-1.0	-2.3	+2.8	+2.8

Riley Greene is better vs right-handed pitching. Chris Bassitt is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Greene has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Chris Bassitt throws a Sinker 38% of the time. Riley Greene has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

38%

Cutter (R)

17%

Slider (R)

14%

Curve (R)

13%

4-Seam (R)

10%

Changeup (R)

12% of Chris Bassitt's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Riley Greene has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+4%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Meatball 4%

-3%

33% of Chris Bassitt's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Riley Greene has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 33%

+19%

Slow Lob 20%

+18%

Low Ride 39%

+15%

Fastball (R) 64%

+11%

16.1% of Riley Greene's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.6% higher than the league average. Chris Bassitt strikes out 15.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.6% -0.4% 4%

Walk +0.4% +0.1% 41%

In Play -2.9% +0.3% 39%

On Base -0.5% +1.5% 31%

Hit -0.9% +1.4% 14%

Single -1.2% +0.8% 13%

2B / 3B -1.0% +1.0% 3%

Home Run +1.3% -0.4%

36.5% of Riley Greene's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.1% higher than the league average. Chris Bassitt induces Standard Grounders at a 35.6% rate, which is 1.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% +0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +2.1% +1.2% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.0% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer -6.3% +1.4% 9%

Rising Liner +2.5% +1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.2% -1.6% 3%

Likely Homer +1.5% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% -0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.2% -2.7% 3%

Pop up -2.1% -0.3%

36.0% of Riley Greene's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.7% higher than the league average. 23.0% of batted balls allowed by Chris Bassitt are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.7% +1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.6% -0.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.9% +1.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.4% -1.5% 24%

Above 100 mph +11.7% -1.3%

12.7% of Riley Greene's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.3% higher than the league average. 10.7% of batted balls allowed by Chris Bassitt are hit at this angle, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +2.4% +0.2% 12%

-10 to 0° +0.5% +0.3% 8%

1 to 6° -0.3% +2.7% 18%

7 to 18° +2.6% +0.6% 15%

19 to 28° -0.5% -0.5% 11%

29 to 38° +1.3% -0.7% 7%

39 to 50° -1.8% -1.6% 8%

Above 50° -4.1% -0.9%

Riley Greene has 9 plate appearances against Chris Bassitt in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 9 with a home run and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	9	9	3	1	0	2	3	0	0.333
Expected From Contact →			2.78	1.00	0.03	1.75			0.309

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-19	Single			27%	73%
2024-07-19	Groundout		3%	42%	55%
2024-07-19	Groundout			5%	95%
2023-07-09	Home Run
2023-07-09	Strikeout
2023-07-09	Single
2023-04-13	Strikeout
2023-04-13	Strikeout
2023-04-13	Flyout				100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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