Matchup Machine

Riley Greene

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matchup for Shelby Miller

162nd out of 436 (Best 38%)

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Shelby Miller

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matchup for Riley Greene

438th out of 567 (Worst 23%)

Leans in favor of Miller
2

Model Prediction

Riley Greene has a 28.6% chance of reaching base vs Shelby Miller, which is 4.2% lower than Greene's typical expectations, and 0.6% lower than batters facing Miller.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.6%19.3%4.1%4.2%11.0%9.4%30.5%
Greene-4.2-2.1+1.0-0.6-2.5-2.1+3.6
Miller-0.6-1.9+0.4-0.8-1.5+1.2+5.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Riley Greene is better vs right-handed pitching. Shelby Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Greene has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Shelby Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Riley Greene has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
56%
   Slider (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
10%
   Splitter (R)
9%
   Cutter (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

16.1% of Riley Greene's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.6% higher than the league average. Shelby Miller strikes out 16.1% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.6% +0.3% 4%         Walk +0.4% +0.8% 41%         In Play -2.9% -1.1% 39%         On Base -0.5% -4.9% 31%         Hit -0.9% -5.7% 14%         Single -1.2% -3.1% 13%         2B / 3B -1.0% -2.8% 3%         Home Run +1.3% +0.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years