matchup for Adrian Morejon
matchup for C.J. Abrams
3
C.J. Abrams has a 29.8% chance of reaching base vs Adrian Morejon, which is 0.8% lower than Abrams's typical expectations, and 1.1% lower than batters facing Morejon.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 29.8% | 21.7% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 15.2% | 8.2% | 25.8% |
| Abrams | -0.8 | -0.6 | -0.7 | -1.0 | +1.1 | -0.2 | +0.5 |
| Morejon | -1.1 | -0.7 | -0.3 | 0.0 | -0.4 | -0.4 | +1.2 |
C.J. Abrams is worse vs left-handed pitching. Adrian Morejon is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Abrams has a C grade vs this particular release point.
Adrian Morejon throws a 4-seam fastball 43% of the time. C.J. Abrams has a C- grade against left-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (L)
43%
Slider (L)
21%
Sinker (L)
18%
Curve (L)
9%
Changeup (L)
6%
14% of Adrian Morejon's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. C.J. Abrams has a C grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Mid Challenge
14%
+3%
Weak Challenge
11%
+2%
Strong Challenge
7%
+2%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Chaser
6%
0%
Likely Ball
18%
-1%
Non-Competitive
10%
-3%
Meatball
1%
-4%
39% of Adrian Morejon's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 35% higher than the MLB average. C.J. Abrams has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Very Fast Velo
39%
+35%
Medium Break
34%
+15%
14.2% of C.J. Abrams's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. Adrian Morejon strikes out 17.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.
14%
Strikeout
-0.7%
+1.9%
5%
Walk
-1.9%
-0.9%
39%
In Play
+2.6%
-1.0%
39%
On Base
-5.1%
+0.0%
31%
Hit
-3.2%
+0.9%
14%
Single
-2.1%
+0.4%
13%
2B / 3B
-1.7%
+0.7%
3%
Home Run
+0.7%
-0.2%
35.5% of C.J. Abrams's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. Adrian Morejon induces Standard Grounders at a 39.5% rate, which is 5.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.4%
+0.6%
34%
Standard Grounder
+1.0%
+5.1%
7%
Hard Grounder
-1.0%
-0.8%
14%
Low Screamer
-2.4%
-1.6%
9%
Rising Liner
-0.9%
-0.4%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.9%
+0.8%
3%
Likely Homer
-2.2%
-1.6%
1%
No Doubter
+0.5%
-0.7%
20%
Routine Flyout
+1.1%
-0.2%
3%
Pop up
+3.2%
-1.2%
21.4% of C.J. Abrams's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.9% lower than the league average. 21.5% of batted balls allowed by Adrian Morejon are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+0.7%
+3.5%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+1.0%
+0.9%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+1.5%
+1.9%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-0.3%
-3.6%
24%
Above 100 mph
-2.9%
-2.8%
10.4% of C.J. Abrams's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. 11.5% of batted balls allowed by Adrian Morejon are hit at this angle, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+1.4%
+6.2%
12%
-10 to 0°
-2.4%
-3.4%
8%
1 to 6°
-0.7%
+0.9%
18%
7 to 18°
-1.6%
-1.8%
15%
19 to 28°
-1.7%
+4.4%
11%
29 to 38°
-1.1%
+0.1%
7%
39 to 50°
+1.8%
-5.0%
8%
Above 50°
+4.3%
-1.3%
C.J. Abrams has 1 plate appearance against Adrian Morejon in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.69 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.68 | 0.689 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-06-24 | Single | 1% | 68% | 31% | |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
