Matchup Machine

C.J. Abrams

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matchup for Dean Kremer

290th out of 436 (Worst 34%)

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Dean Kremer

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matchup for C.J. Abrams

299th out of 567 (Worst 47%)

Leans in favor of Abrams
1

Model Prediction

C.J. Abrams has a 29.9% chance of reaching base vs Dean Kremer, which is 0.4% higher than Abrams's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Kremer.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.9%20.7%3.3%4.6%12.8%9.2%24.7%
Abrams-0.4-1.3+0.6-0.6-1.3+0.9-0.8
Kremer-0.2+0.2+0.5+0.3-0.6-0.4-0.5

Handedness and Release Point

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C.J. Abrams is better vs right-handed pitching. Dean Kremer is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Abrams has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Dean Kremer throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. C.J. Abrams has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
38%
   Cutter (R)
25%
   Curve (R)
12%
   Sinker (R)
11%
   Changeup (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

14.2% of C.J. Abrams's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. Dean Kremer strikes out 14.9% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.7% -0.3% 5%         Walk -1.7% +0.8% 39%         In Play +2.4% -0.4% 39%         On Base -4.9% +1.3% 31%         Hit -3.2% +0.6% 14%         Single -2.0% -0.3% 13%         2B / 3B -1.6% +0.1% 3%         Home Run +0.4% +0.8%

History

C.J. Abrams has 8 plate appearances against Dean Kremer in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 7 with a double and a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual872011310.286
Expected From Contact →1.430.000.341.090.204
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-14Strikeout
2024-08-14Walk
2024-08-14Strikeout
2023-04-18Single2%84%14%
2023-04-18Strikeout
2022-09-13Pop Out99%
2022-09-13Flyout100%
2022-09-13Double32%24%44%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.