Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

C.J. Abrams

matchup for Zack Wheeler

247th out of 436 (Worst 44%)

Zack Wheeler

matchup for C.J. Abrams

535th out of 567 (Worst 6%)

Strong advantage for Wheeler

C.J. Abrams has a 24.3% chance of reaching base vs Zack Wheeler, which is 6.1% lower than Abrams's typical expectations, and 1.3% lower than batters facing Wheeler.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	24.3%	17.4%	3.3%	3.5%	10.7%	6.9%	32.3%
Abrams	-6.1	-4.9	+0.4	-1.8	-3.5	-1.2	+7.5
Wheeler	-1.3	+0.9	+0.4	+0.2	+0.2	-2.2	-1.6

C.J. Abrams is better vs right-handed pitching. Zack Wheeler is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Abrams has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Zack Wheeler throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. C.J. Abrams has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

42%

Slider (R)

21%

Sinker (R)

19%

Curve (R)

11%

13% of Zack Wheeler's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. C.J. Abrams has a B- grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 3%

-3%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

32% of Zack Wheeler's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. C.J. Abrams has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fast Velo 32%

+17%

Fastball (R) 64%

+11%

13.8% of C.J. Abrams's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. Zack Wheeler strikes out 21.0% of the batters he faces, which is 7.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -1.3% +7.8% 5%

Walk -2.0% -2.6% 38%

In Play +3.2% -5.2% 39%

On Base -5.1% -6.5% 31%

Hit -3.2% -3.8% 14%

Single -2.0% -1.5% 13%

2B / 3B -1.5% -1.4% 3%

Home Run +0.3% -1.0%

35.2% of C.J. Abrams's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. Zack Wheeler induces Standard Grounders at a 41.0% rate, which is 6.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% -0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.8% +6.6% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.1% -1.3% 14%

Low Screamer -2.2% +2.5% 9%

Rising Liner -1.0% -0.8% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.8% -1.8% 3%

Likely Homer -2.1% -1.0% 1%

No Doubter +0.5% -0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.2% -4.0% 3%

Pop up +3.4% +0.7%

21.3% of C.J. Abrams's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. 21.7% of batted balls allowed by Zack Wheeler are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.9% +5.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.0% +1.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.4% -1.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.3% -3.4% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.0% -2.6%

10.4% of C.J. Abrams's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.0% lower than the league average. 9.8% of batted balls allowed by Zack Wheeler are hit at this angle, which is 1.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +1.4% +3.8% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.5% -0.3% 8%

1 to 6° -0.8% -0.8% 18%

7 to 18° -1.7% +0.6% 15%

19 to 28° -1.7% -0.4% 11%

29 to 38° -1.0% -1.7% 7%

39 to 50° +2.0% -0.7% 8%

Above 50° +4.3% -0.5%

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	22	22	5	0	4	1	7	0	0.227
Expected From Contact →			5.86	0.81	3.21	1.84			0.266

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2025-03-27	Flyout
2025-03-27	Strikeout
2025-03-27	Strikeout
2024-08-15	Pop Out				99%
2024-08-15	Strikeout
2024-08-15	Hit By Pitch
2024-05-17	Lineout		85%	4%	10%
2024-05-17	Strikeout
2024-05-17	Double		85%	7%	8%
2023-08-20	Single
2023-08-20	Strikeout
2023-08-20	Lineout
2023-08-20	Lineout
2023-08-08	Double	47%	32%	2%	19%
2023-08-08	Flyout	33%	33%		34%
2023-08-08	Pop Out			2%	98%
2023-07-01	Groundout			4%	96%
2023-07-01	Triple		35%	57%	8%
2023-06-02	Strikeout
2023-06-02	Double		42%	2%	55%
2022-10-02	Strikeout
2022-10-02	Groundout		8%	5%	87%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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