Matchup Machine

C.J. Abrams

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

203rd out of 436 (Best 47%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for C.J. Abrams

132nd out of 567 (Best 24%)

Moderate advantage for Abrams
5

Model Prediction

C.J. Abrams has a 32.1% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 1.8% higher than Abrams's typical expectations, and 1.6% lower than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.1%23.2%3.0%6.3%13.9%8.9%23.5%
Abrams+1.8+1.2+0.2+1.1-0.1+0.6-2.0
Anderson-1.6+1.0+0.1+1.1-0.2-2.6+1.9

Handedness and Release Point

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C.J. Abrams is worse vs left-handed pitching. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Abrams has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. C.J. Abrams has a C- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

14.2% of C.J. Abrams's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.7% -1.9% 5%         Walk -1.7% -1.0% 39%         In Play +2.4% +2.9% 39%         On Base -4.9% -0.1% 31%         Hit -3.2% +0.9% 14%         Single -2.0% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -1.6% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +0.4% -0.2%

History

C.J. Abrams has 2 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.050.000.010.040.023
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-04-23Groundout4%96%
2022-04-23Flyout99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.