Matchup Machine

Endy Rodriguez

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matchup for David Bednar

out of 436 (Worst %)

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David Bednar

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matchup for Endy Rodriguez

342nd out of 567 (Worst 40%)

Moderate advantage for Bednar
4

Model Prediction

Endy Rodriguez has a 29.1% chance of reaching base vs David Bednar, which is 0.6% lower than Rodriguez's typical expectations, and 1.5% lower than batters facing Bednar.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.1%16.8%1.9%3.9%11.0%12.3%23.3%
Rodriguez-0.6-2.7-0.1-0.4-2.2+2.0-2.0
Bednar-1.5-3.4-0.9-0.8-1.6+1.9+0.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Endy Rodriguez is much better vs right-handed pitching. David Bednar is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Rodriguez does't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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David Bednar throws a 4-seam fastball 55% of the time. Endy Rodriguez hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
55%
   Curve (R)
24%
   Splitter (R)
20%

Contact and Outcomes

18.6% of Endy Rodriguez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. David Bednar strikes out 18.2% of the batters he faces, which is 3.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout -0.5% +3.7% 5%         Walk +2.1% +1.9% 52%         In Play -1.6% -5.6% 39%         On Base +0.6% -1.5% 31%         Hit -1.5% -3.3% 14%         Single -0.7% -2.3% 13%         2B / 3B -0.3% -1.8% 3%         Home Run -0.5% +0.7%

History

No History in the last 3 years