Matchup Machine

Endy Rodriguez

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matchup for Jhony Brito

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Jhony Brito

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matchup for Endy Rodriguez

204th out of 567 (Best 37%)

Leans in favor of Brito
1

Model Prediction

Endy Rodriguez has a 30.0% chance of reaching base vs Jhony Brito, which is 0.3% higher than Rodriguez's typical expectations, and 1.5% lower than batters facing Brito.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.0%23.1%1.7%4.6%16.9%6.9%17.3%
Rodriguez+0.3+3.7-0.3+0.2+3.7-3.4-7.9
Brito-1.5-1.5-0.6-0.6-0.30.0-0.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Endy Rodriguez is much better vs right-handed pitching. Jhony Brito is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Rodriguez doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jhony Brito throws a Sinker 31% of the time. Endy Rodriguez hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
31%
   Changeup (R)
30%
   4-Seam (R)
20%
   Curve (R)
15%

Contact and Outcomes

18.6% of Endy Rodriguez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. Jhony Brito strikes out 11.5% of the batters he faces, which is 4.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout -0.5% -4.1% 5%         Walk +2.1% -1.4% 52%         In Play -1.6% +5.5% 39%         On Base +0.6% -2.5% 31%         Hit -1.5% -1.2% 14%         Single -0.7% -0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -0.3% -0.1% 3%         Home Run -0.5% -0.5%

History

Endy Rodriguez has 1 plate appearance against Jhony Brito in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.160.020.140.000.159
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-09-16Flyout2%14%84%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.