Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Endy Rodriguez

matchup for Caleb Ferguson

out of 436 (Worst %)

Caleb Ferguson

matchup for Endy Rodriguez

389th out of 567 (Worst 32%)

Moderate advantage for Ferguson

Endy Rodriguez has a 29.8% chance of reaching base vs Caleb Ferguson, which is 0.0% higher than Rodriguez's typical expectations, and 2.1% lower than batters facing Ferguson.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.8%	18.1%	1.9%	3.5%	12.7%	11.7%	29.0%
Rodriguez	+0.0	-1.4	-0.1	-0.8	-0.5	+1.5	+3.8
Ferguson	-2.1	-3.9	-0.5	-0.8	-2.6	+1.8	+1.7

Endy Rodriguez is much worse vs left-handed pitching. Caleb Ferguson is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Rodriguez doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Caleb Ferguson throws a 4-seam fastball 65% of the time. Endy Rodriguez hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

65%

Curve (L)

17%

Cutter (L)

14%

15% of Caleb Ferguson's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Endy Rodriguez hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+4%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Weak Challenge 8%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-1%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-3%

37% of Caleb Ferguson's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. Endy Rodriguez hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fast Velo 37%

+28%

Fastball (L) 82%

+27%

Medium Ride 34%

+20%

Medium Break 39%

+20%

18.6% of Endy Rodriguez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. Caleb Ferguson strikes out 20.7% of the batters he faces, which is 7.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

19%

Strikeout -0.5% +7.9% 5%

Walk +2.1% +2.0% 52%

In Play -1.6% -9.9% 39%

On Base +0.6% +2.0% 31%

Hit -1.5% +0.0% 14%

Single -0.7% +0.6% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% +0.7% 3%

Home Run -0.5% -1.2%

19.2% of Endy Rodriguez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 15.2% lower than the league average. Caleb Ferguson induces Standard Grounders at a 38.3% rate, which is 3.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.4% -0.7% 34%

Standard Grounder -15.2% +3.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -7.8% +2.6% 14%

Low Screamer +12.2% +0.6% 9%

Rising Liner +1.2% -2.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.4% -0.8% 3%

Likely Homer +3.0% -0.6% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +12.1% -3.2% 3%

Pop up -3.4% +0.6%

12.4% of Endy Rodriguez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.9% lower than the league average. 21.7% of batted balls allowed by Caleb Ferguson are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -9.4% +0.5% 21%

75 to 86 mph +15.5% +3.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph +4.6% -2.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.2% +1.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -11.9% -2.6%

18.3% of Endy Rodriguez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 6.8% higher than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Caleb Ferguson are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%