Endy Rodriguez has a 27.0% chance of reaching base vs Jeff Hoffman, which is 2.7% lower than Rodriguez's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Hoffman.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 27.0% | 17.2% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 37.4% |
Rodriguez | -2.7 | -2.3 | -0.4 | -0.7 | -1.2 | -0.5 | +12.1 |
Hoffman | -1.4 | -2.9 | -1.1 | -0.6 | -1.1 | +1.4 | +3.5 |
Endy Rodriguez is much better vs right-handed pitching. Jeff Hoffman is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Rodriguez doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.
Jeff Hoffman throws a 4-seam fastball 53% of the time. Endy Rodriguez hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often
18.6% of Endy Rodriguez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. Jeff Hoffman strikes out 21.0% of the batters he faces, which is 7.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Endy Rodriguez has 1 plate appearance against Jeff Hoffman in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.015 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2023-09-26 | Flyout | 99% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.