Matchup Machine

Endy Rodriguez

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matchup for Jeff Hoffman

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Jeff Hoffman

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matchup for Endy Rodriguez

519th out of 567 (Worst 9%)

Strong advantage for Hoffman
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Model Prediction

Endy Rodriguez has a 27.0% chance of reaching base vs Jeff Hoffman, which is 2.7% lower than Rodriguez's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Hoffman.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.0%17.2%1.6%3.7%11.9%9.8%37.4%
Rodriguez-2.7-2.3-0.4-0.7-1.2-0.5+12.1
Hoffman-1.4-2.9-1.1-0.6-1.1+1.4+3.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Endy Rodriguez is much better vs right-handed pitching. Jeff Hoffman is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Rodriguez doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jeff Hoffman throws a 4-seam fastball 53% of the time. Endy Rodriguez hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
53%
   Slider (R)
20%
   Curve (R)
12%
   Changeup (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

18.6% of Endy Rodriguez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. Jeff Hoffman strikes out 21.0% of the batters he faces, which is 7.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout -0.5% +7.4% 5%         Walk +2.1% +0.7% 52%         In Play -1.6% -8.1% 39%         On Base +0.6% -3.1% 31%         Hit -1.5% -3.8% 14%         Single -0.7% -1.9% 13%         2B / 3B -0.3% -1.6% 3%         Home Run -0.5% -0.3%

History

Endy Rodriguez has 1 plate appearance against Jeff Hoffman in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.010.010.010.000.015
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-09-26Flyout99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.