Matchup Machine

Endy Rodriguez

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matchup for Sandy Alcantara

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Sandy Alcantara

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matchup for Endy Rodriguez

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Alcantara
4

Model Prediction

Endy Rodriguez has a 28.7% chance of reaching base vs Sandy Alcantara, which is 1.0% lower than Rodriguez's typical expectations, and 1.5% lower than batters facing Alcantara.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.7%20.1%1.9%4.4%13.8%8.6%25.9%
Rodriguez-1.0-0.3-0.4-0.1+0.3-0.8+1.5
Alcantara-1.5-2.0-0.3+0.1-1.7+0.5-0.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Endy Rodriguez is much better vs right-handed pitching. Sandy Alcantara is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Rodriguez does't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Sandy Alcantara throws a Sinker 28% of the time. Endy Rodriguez hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
28%
   Changeup (R)
25%
   4-Seam (R)
23%
   Slider (R)
22%

Contact and Outcomes

19.4% of Endy Rodriguez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. Sandy Alcantara strikes out 17.6% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout +0.3% +2.6% 6%         Walk +0.8% -0.7% 52%         In Play -1.1% -1.9% 39%         On Base +0.8% -4.4% 31%         Hit +0.0% -3.7% 14%         Single 0.0% -1.2% 13%         2B / 3B +0.4% -1.2% 3%         Home Run -0.4% -1.4%

History

Endy Rodriguez has 2 plate appearances against Sandy Alcantara in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual210000110.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2025-03-27Walk
2025-03-27Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.