Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Endy Rodriguez

matchup for Andrew Chafin

out of 436 (Worst %)

Andrew Chafin

matchup for Endy Rodriguez

337th out of 567 (Worst 41%)

Moderate advantage for Chafin

Endy Rodriguez has a 31.0% chance of reaching base vs Andrew Chafin, which is 1.3% higher than Rodriguez's typical expectations, and 2.5% lower than batters facing Chafin.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.0%	18.4%	1.6%	4.1%	12.7%	12.7%	29.4%
Rodriguez	+1.3	-1.1	-0.3	-0.3	-0.5	+2.4	+4.1
Chafin	-2.5	-2.4	-0.7	-0.3	-1.4	-0.1	+0.8

Endy Rodriguez is much worse vs left-handed pitching. Andrew Chafin is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Rodriguez doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Andrew Chafin throws a Sinker 39% of the time. Endy Rodriguez hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (L)

39%

Slider (L)

37%

4-Seam (L)

24%

25% of Andrew Chafin's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Endy Rodriguez hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 25%

+5%

Chaser 8%

+3%

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Strong Challenge 2%

-3%

Mid Challenge 8%

-3%

32% of Andrew Chafin's pitches are classified as Medium Fast Velocity, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Endy Rodriguez hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Fast Velo 32%

+16%

Minimal Break 23%

+13%

Medium Drop 24%

+12%

Fastball (L) 63%

+8%

18.6% of Endy Rodriguez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. Andrew Chafin strikes out 20.0% of the batters he faces, which is 6.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

19%

Strikeout -0.5% +6.4% 5%

Walk +2.1% +1.6% 52%

In Play -1.6% -8.0% 39%

On Base +0.6% -2.1% 31%

Hit -1.5% -3.8% 14%

Single -0.7% -1.5% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -1.3% 3%

Home Run -0.5% -1.0%

19.2% of Endy Rodriguez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 15.2% lower than the league average. Andrew Chafin induces Standard Grounders at a 37.1% rate, which is 2.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.4% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -15.2% +2.7% 7%

Hard Grounder -7.8% -2.8% 14%

Low Screamer +12.2% +1.2% 9%

Rising Liner +1.2% -2.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.4% +0.6% 3%

Likely Homer +3.0% -0.3% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +12.1% +1.1% 3%

Pop up -3.4% +0.3%

12.4% of Endy Rodriguez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.9% lower than the league average. 19.2% of batted balls allowed by Andrew Chafin are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -9.4% -0.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph +15.5% +3.8% 18%

87 to 93 mph +4.6% +0.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.2% +1.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -11.9% -5.1%

18.3% of Endy Rodriguez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 6.8% higher than the league average. 10.3% of batted balls allowed by Andrew Chafin are hit at this angle, which is 1.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -8.3% -0.8% 12%

-10 to 0° -4.2% +0.2% 8%

1 to 6° -7.5% -0.2% 18%

7 to 18° +3.5% -1.9% 15%

19 to 28° -9.6% +3.3% 11%

29 to 38° +6.8% -1.2% 7%

39 to 50° +17.7% -0.7% 8%

Above 50° +1.6% +1.2%

Endy Rodriguez has 1 plate appearance against Andrew Chafin in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.16	0.00	0.00	0.16			0.160

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-08-03	Groundout			16%	84%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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