Matchup Machine

Endy Rodriguez

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matchup for Frankie Montas

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Frankie Montas

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matchup for Endy Rodriguez

302nd out of 567 (Worst 47%)

Moderate advantage for Montas
3

Model Prediction

Endy Rodriguez has a 30.5% chance of reaching base vs Frankie Montas, which is 0.8% higher than Rodriguez's typical expectations, and 1.5% lower than batters facing Montas.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.5%17.6%2.4%4.7%10.6%12.9%30.5%
Rodriguez+0.8-1.9+0.4+0.4-2.6+2.7+5.2
Montas-1.5-3.7-0.6-0.9-2.3+2.2+2.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Endy Rodriguez is much better vs right-handed pitching. Frankie Montas is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Rodriguez doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Frankie Montas throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Endy Rodriguez hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
29%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Splitter (R)
20%
   Slider (R)
17%
   Cutter (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

18.6% of Endy Rodriguez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. Frankie Montas strikes out 18.6% of the batters he faces, which is 4.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout -0.5% +4.7% 5%         Walk +2.1% +1.2% 52%         In Play -1.6% -5.9% 39%         On Base +0.6% -1.8% 31%         Hit -1.5% -3.0% 14%         Single -0.7% -1.6% 13%         2B / 3B -0.3% -1.6% 3%         Home Run -0.5% +0.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years