Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Endy Rodriguez

matchup for Gerrit Cole

out of 436 (Worst %)

Gerrit Cole

matchup for Endy Rodriguez

348th out of 567 (Worst 39%)

Moderate advantage for Cole

Endy Rodriguez has a 28.7% chance of reaching base vs Gerrit Cole, which is 1.0% lower than Rodriguez's typical expectations, and 1.8% lower than batters facing Cole.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.7%	18.5%	1.7%	4.8%	11.9%	10.3%	24.5%
Rodriguez	-1.0	-1.0	-0.3	+0.5	-1.2	+0.0	-0.8
Cole	-1.8	-3.7	-0.8	-0.6	-2.2	+1.9	+1.4

Endy Rodriguez is much better vs right-handed pitching. Gerrit Cole is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Rodriguez doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Gerrit Cole throws a 4-seam fastball 50% of the time. Endy Rodriguez hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

50%

Slider (R)

21%

Kn-Curve (R)

13%

Cutter (R)

Changeup (R)

8% of Gerrit Cole's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Endy Rodriguez hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Meatball 2%

-4%

27% of Gerrit Cole's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Endy Rodriguez hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 27%

+18%

High Ride 27%

+17%

Small Break 20%

+9%

18.6% of Endy Rodriguez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. Gerrit Cole strikes out 21.9% of the batters he faces, which is 8.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

19%

Strikeout -0.5% +8.7% 5%

Walk +2.1% -2.2% 52%

In Play -1.6% -6.5% 39%

On Base +0.6% -6.3% 31%

Hit -1.5% -4.0% 14%

Single -0.7% -1.9% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -1.7% 3%

Home Run -0.5% -0.4%

19.2% of Endy Rodriguez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 15.2% lower than the league average. Gerrit Cole induces Standard Grounders at a 33.0% rate, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.4% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -15.2% -1.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -7.8% +0.1% 14%

Low Screamer +12.2% -0.3% 9%

Rising Liner +1.2% -0.1% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.4% +0.4% 3%

Likely Homer +3.0% -0.6% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +12.1% +2.5% 3%

Pop up -3.4% -0.1%

12.4% of Endy Rodriguez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.9% lower than the league average. 23.7% of batted balls allowed by Gerrit Cole are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -9.4% -1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +15.5% +0.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph +4.6% +1.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.2% +0.6% 24%

Above 100 mph -11.9% -0.6%

18.3% of Endy Rodriguez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 6.8% higher than the league average. 11.8% of batted balls allowed by Gerrit Cole are hit at this angle, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -8.3% +0.4% 12%

-10 to 0° -4.2% -1.0% 8%

1 to 6° -7.5% -0.4% 18%

7 to 18° +3.5% 0.0% 15%

19 to 28° -9.6% -0.4% 11%

29 to 38° +6.8% +0.3% 7%

39 to 50° +17.7% +1.0% 8%

Above 50° +1.6% +0.2%

Endy Rodriguez has 2 plate appearances against Gerrit Cole in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1 with a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	1.000
Expected From Contact →			0.95	0.00	0.19	0.77			0.951

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-15	Single		19%	77%	5%
2023-09-15	Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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