Matchup Machine

      Elly De La Cruz

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      matchup for Y. Yamamoto

      264th out of 436 (Worst 40%)

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      Yoshinobu Yamamoto

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      matchup for Elly De La Cruz

      429th out of 564 (Worst 24%)

      Moderate advantage for Yamamoto
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      Model Prediction

      Elly De La Cruz has a 29.7% chance of reaching base vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto, which is 1.9% lower than De La Cruz's typical expectations, and 0.6% higher than batters facing Yamamoto.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Elly De La Cruz is better vs right-handed pitching. Yoshinobu Yamamoto is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. De La Cruz has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws a 4-seam fastball 41% of the time. Elly De La Cruz has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      41%
         Splitter (R)
      24%
         Curve (R)
      22%
         Cutter (R)
      6%

      Contact and Outcomes

      19.0% of Elly De La Cruz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.4% higher than the league average. Yoshinobu Yamamoto strikes out 19.6% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +7.4% +3.1% 4%         Walk +0.9% -1.8% 43%         In Play -8.3% -1.2% 39%         On Base -0.5% +1.3% 31%         Hit -1.3% +3.1% 14%         Single -1.5% +1.0% 13%         2B / 3B -1.3% +1.6% 3%         Home Run +1.5% +0.6%

      History

      Elly De La Cruz has 3 plate appearances against Yoshinobu Yamamoto in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a walk

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual320000110.000
      Expected From Contact →0.020.000.010.010.008
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-05-26Walk
      2024-05-26Groundout98%
      2024-05-26Strikeout

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.