Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Elly De La Cruz

matchup for Tanner Bibee

239th out of 436 (Worst 45%)

Tanner Bibee

matchup for Elly De La Cruz

299th out of 567 (Worst 47%)

Leans in favor of De La Cruz

Elly De La Cruz has a 31.4% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Bibee, which is 0.7% lower than De La Cruz's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Bibee.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.4%	23.0%	3.2%	5.9%	13.9%	8.4%	32.5%
De La Cruz	-0.7	+1.3	+0.2	+0.9	+0.1	-2.0	+1.4
Bibee	+0.3	+1.0	+0.4	+0.8	-0.2	-0.6	+7.3

Elly De La Cruz is better vs right-handed pitching. Tanner Bibee is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. De La Cruz has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Tanner Bibee throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Elly De La Cruz has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

45%

Slider (R)

27%

Changeup (R)

17%

Curve (R)

13% of Tanner Bibee's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Elly De La Cruz has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Meatball 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Non-Competitive 12%

Weak Challenge 8%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

28% of Tanner Bibee's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 13% higher than the MLB average. Elly De La Cruz has a B+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fast Velo 28%

+13%

Medium Break 22%

+13%

Medium Ride 24%

+11%

19.3% of Elly De La Cruz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.0% higher than the league average. Tanner Bibee strikes out 17.7% of the batters he faces, which is 2.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

11%

Strikeout +8.0% +2.8% 4%

Walk +0.9% -1.3% 43%

In Play -8.9% -1.5% 39%

On Base -1.5% -1.1% 31%

Hit -2.4% +0.2% 14%

Single -1.8% -0.3% 13%

2B / 3B -1.6% +0.2% 3%

Home Run +0.9% +0.2%

44.7% of Elly De La Cruz's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 10.3% higher than the league average. Tanner Bibee induces Standard Grounders at a 26.6% rate, which is 7.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% -0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +10.3% -7.8% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.6% +3.1% 14%

Low Screamer -3.9% -0.4% 9%

Rising Liner +0.9% +2.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.9% -1.2% 3%

Likely Homer +0.1% -2.0% 1%

No Doubter +1.8% +0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout -6.6% +1.8% 3%

Pop up -0.9% +3.9%

30.5% of Elly De La Cruz's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 6.2% higher than the league average. 24.6% of batted balls allowed by Tanner Bibee are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.0% -1.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.4% +2.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.4% -2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.3% +0.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +6.2% +0.3%

8.3% of Elly De La Cruz's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. 10.8% of batted balls allowed by Tanner Bibee are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +6.8% -4.6% 12%

-10 to 0° +3.7% +0.5% 8%

1 to 6° -0.8% -2.7% 18%

7 to 18° +1.0% +5.2% 15%

19 to 28° -2.5% -2.9% 11%

29 to 38° -3.1% -0.6% 7%

39 to 50° -2.3% +0.1% 8%

Above 50° -2.8% +5.1%

Elly De La Cruz has 6 plate appearances against Tanner Bibee in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 6 with 5 strikeouts.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	6	6	0	0	0	0	5	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.10	0.00	0.01	0.10			0.017

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-09-24	Strikeout
2024-09-24	Strikeout
2024-09-24	Groundout			10%	90%
2024-06-12	Strikeout
2024-06-12	Strikeout
2024-06-12	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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