Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Elly De La Cruz

matchup for George Kirby

250th out of 436 (Worst 43%)

George Kirby

matchup for Elly De La Cruz

350th out of 564 (Worst 38%)

Leans in favor of Kirby

Elly De La Cruz has a 28.3% chance of reaching base vs George Kirby, which is 3.8% lower than De La Cruz's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Kirby.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.3%	22.9%	3.4%	5.7%	13.9%	5.4%	26.8%
De La Cruz	-3.8	+1.2	+0.4	+0.7	+0.1	-5.1	-4.3
Kirby	+0.1	+0.3	+0.7	+0.5	-0.9	-0.2	+6.0

Elly De La Cruz is better vs right-handed pitching. George Kirby is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. De La Cruz has an A grade vs this particular release point.

George Kirby throws a 4-seam fastball 40% of the time. Elly De La Cruz has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

40%

Slider (R)

22%

Sinker (R)

19%

Curve (R)

Splitter (R)

12% of George Kirby's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Elly De La Cruz has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+3%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-3%

Non-Competitive 8%

-4%

26% of George Kirby's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Elly De La Cruz has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 26%

+18%

Medium Break 18%

+9%

19.3% of Elly De La Cruz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.0% higher than the league average. George Kirby strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

11%

Strikeout +8.0% +0.5% 4%

Walk +0.9% -5.1% 43%

In Play -8.9% +4.6% 39%

On Base -1.5% -3.9% 31%

Hit -2.4% +1.2% 14%

Single -1.8% +0.5% 13%

2B / 3B -1.6% +0.8% 3%

Home Run +0.9% -0.1%

44.7% of Elly De La Cruz's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 10.3% higher than the league average. George Kirby induces Standard Grounders at a 36.4% rate, which is 2.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% -0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder +10.3% +2.0% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.6% +0.1% 14%

Low Screamer -3.9% -1.4% 9%

Rising Liner +0.9% -2.7% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.9% -0.9% 3%

Likely Homer +0.1% -0.6% 1%

No Doubter +1.8% -1.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -6.6% +3.1% 3%

Pop up -0.9% +2.1%

30.5% of Elly De La Cruz's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 6.2% higher than the league average. 22.6% of batted balls allowed by George Kirby are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.0% -4.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.4% +3.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.4% +2.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.3% +0.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +6.2% -1.7%

8.3% of Elly De La Cruz's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. 12.5% of batted balls allowed by George Kirby are hit at this angle, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +6.8% +2.1% 12%

-10 to 0° +3.7% +2.2% 8%

1 to 6° -0.8% -1.2% 18%

7 to 18° +1.0% -5.3% 15%

19 to 28° -2.5% -1.8% 11%

29 to 38° -3.1% +1.0% 7%

39 to 50° -2.3% +1.0% 8%

Above 50° -2.8% +1.9%

Elly De La Cruz has 2 plate appearances against George Kirby in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.51	0.00	0.01	0.50			0.255

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-04-15	Groundout			50%	49%
2024-04-15	Pop Out				100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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