Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Elly De La Cruz

matchup for Cole Winn

238th out of 436 (Worst 46%)

Cole Winn

matchup for Elly De La Cruz

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for De La Cruz

Elly De La Cruz has a 35.6% chance of reaching base vs Cole Winn, which is 3.5% higher than De La Cruz's typical expectations, and 1.3% higher than batters facing Winn.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	35.6%	24.2%	2.9%	5.8%	15.6%	11.4%	26.6%
De La Cruz	+3.5	+2.5	-0.1	+0.8	+1.8	+1.0	-4.5
Winn	+1.3	-0.6	+0.1	-0.3	-0.4	+1.8	+5.4

Elly De La Cruz is better vs right-handed pitching. Cole Winn is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. De La Cruz has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Cole Winn throws a 4-seam fastball 41% of the time. Elly De La Cruz has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

41%

Slider (R)

27%

Splitter (R)

18%

Sinker (R)

15% of Cole Winn's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Elly De La Cruz has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+4%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Non-Competitive 13%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Chaser 4%

-2%

37% of Cole Winn's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Elly De La Cruz has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 37%

+17%

Medium Slow Velo 29%

+16%

Small Drop 22%

+9%

Offspeed (R) 21%

+9%

19.3% of Elly De La Cruz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.0% higher than the league average. Cole Winn strikes out 11.2% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

11%

Strikeout +8.0% -4.3% 4%

Walk +0.9% -3.6% 43%

In Play -8.9% +7.9% 39%

On Base -1.5% +6.4% 31%

Hit -2.4% +10.0% 14%

Single -1.8% +5.6% 13%

2B / 3B -1.6% +6.0% 3%

Home Run +0.9% -1.5%

44.7% of Elly De La Cruz's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 10.3% higher than the league average. Cole Winn induces Standard Grounders at a 32.7% rate, which is 1.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder +10.3% -1.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.6% -0.3% 14%

Low Screamer -3.9% +2.7% 9%

Rising Liner +0.9% -3.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.9% -0.2% 3%

Likely Homer +0.1% +0.7% 1%

No Doubter +1.8% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -6.6% +5.0% 3%

Pop up -0.9% -1.3%

30.5% of Elly De La Cruz's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 6.2% higher than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Cole Winn are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.0% -6.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.4% +6.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.4% -2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.3% +2.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +6.2% -0.7%

8.3% of Elly De La Cruz's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. 8.0% of batted balls allowed by Cole Winn are hit at this angle, which is 3.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%