Matchup Machine

Elly De La Cruz

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matchup for Dean Kremer

342nd out of 436 (Worst 22%)

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Dean Kremer

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matchup for Elly De La Cruz

254th out of 567 (Best 46%)

Moderate advantage for De La Cruz
3

Model Prediction

Elly De La Cruz has a 32.6% chance of reaching base vs Dean Kremer, which is 0.5% higher than De La Cruz's typical expectations, and 2.4% higher than batters facing Kremer.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.6%21.5%3.3%5.2%13.0%11.0%30.0%
De La Cruz+0.5-0.2+0.3+0.3-0.8+0.6-1.1
Kremer+2.4+1.0+0.5+0.9-0.3+1.4+4.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Elly De La Cruz is better vs right-handed pitching. Dean Kremer is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. De La Cruz has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Dean Kremer throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Elly De La Cruz has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
38%
   Cutter (R)
25%
   Curve (R)
12%
   Sinker (R)
11%
   Changeup (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

19.3% of Elly De La Cruz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.0% higher than the league average. Dean Kremer strikes out 14.9% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +8.0% -0.3% 4%         Walk +0.9% +0.8% 43%         In Play -8.9% -0.4% 39%         On Base -1.5% +1.3% 31%         Hit -2.4% +0.6% 14%         Single -1.8% -0.3% 13%         2B / 3B -1.6% +0.1% 3%         Home Run +0.9% +0.8%

History

Elly De La Cruz has 3 plate appearances against Dean Kremer in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with 2 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000200.000
Expected From Contact →0.260.020.230.020.088
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-05Strikeout
2024-05-05Strikeout
2024-05-05Lineout2%23%2%74%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.