Matchup Machine

Elly De La Cruz

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matchup for Tyler Duffey

133rd out of 436 (Best 31%)

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Tyler Duffey

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matchup for Elly De La Cruz

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of De La Cruz
2

Model Prediction

Elly De La Cruz has a 33.4% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Duffey, which is 1.3% higher than De La Cruz's typical expectations, and 0.6% lower than batters facing Duffey.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.4%19.9%2.9%4.5%12.4%13.6%32.5%
De La Cruz+1.3-1.8-0.1-0.4-1.4+3.2+1.5
Duffey-0.6-2.8+0.3-0.8-2.3+2.2+7.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Elly De La Cruz is better vs right-handed pitching. Tyler Duffey is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. De La Cruz has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Duffey throws a Kn-Curve 42% of the time. Elly De La Cruz hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Kn-Curve (R)
42%
   4-Seam (R)
40%
   Sinker (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

19.3% of Elly De La Cruz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.0% higher than the league average. Tyler Duffey strikes out 17.0% of the batters he faces, which is 3.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +8.0% +3.7% 4%         Walk +0.9% -2.4% 43%         In Play -8.9% -1.3% 39%         On Base -1.5% -5.5% 31%         Hit -2.4% -3.1% 14%         Single -1.8% -1.3% 13%         2B / 3B -1.6% -1.3% 3%         Home Run +0.9% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years