Matchup Machine

Angel Martinez

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matchup for Kyle Harrison

98th out of 436 (Best 23%)

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Kyle Harrison

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matchup for Angel Martinez

143rd out of 567 (Best 26%)

Leans in favor of Harrison
1

Model Prediction

Angel Martinez has a 29.0% chance of reaching base vs Kyle Harrison, which is 1.6% higher than Martinez's typical expectations, and 3.8% lower than batters facing Harrison.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.0%23.3%2.4%5.6%15.3%5.7%22.8%
Martinez+1.6+2.4+0.5+0.9+1.0-0.8-0.8
Harrison-3.8+0.6-0.7+0.3+1.0-4.4-3.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Angel Martinez hasn't faced much left-handed pitching. Kyle Harrison is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Martinez doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Kyle Harrison throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Angel Martinez hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
58%
   Curve (L)
23%
   Changeup (L)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

16.6% of Angel Martinez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. Kyle Harrison strikes out 15.2% of the batters he faces, which is 0.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout -4.3% +0.0% 6%         Walk +0.5% +1.0% 54%         In Play +3.8% -1.0% 39%         On Base -2.0% +1.4% 31%         Hit -2.5% +0.4% 14%         Single -0.6% -0.3% 13%         2B / 3B -0.2% +0.1% 3%         Home Run -1.6% +0.6%

History

Angel Martinez has 2 plate appearances against Kyle Harrison in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 0 with 2 walks

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual200000020.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-06Walk
2024-07-06Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.