Matchup Machine

Angel Martinez

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matchup for Seth Lugo

30th out of 436 (Best 8%)

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Seth Lugo

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matchup for Angel Martinez

331st out of 567 (Worst 42%)

Moderate advantage for Lugo
5

Model Prediction

Angel Martinez has a 27.2% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 0.1% higher than Martinez's typical expectations, and 5.2% lower than batters facing Lugo.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.2%21.6%2.0%4.9%14.7%5.7%26.5%
Martinez-0.1+0.7+0.1+0.3+0.4-0.8+2.9
Lugo-5.2-2.4-1.20.0-1.2-2.9+1.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Angel Martinez hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Martinez doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Angel Martinez hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
29%
   Curve (R)
28%
   Sinker (R)
17%
   Slider (R)
13%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

16.6% of Angel Martinez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout -4.3% +0.8% 6%         Walk +0.5% -2.3% 54%         In Play +3.8% +1.4% 39%         On Base -2.0% -0.4% 31%         Hit -2.5% +1.9% 14%         Single -0.6% +0.7% 13%         2B / 3B -0.2% +1.1% 3%         Home Run -1.6% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years