Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Francisco Alvarez

matchup for Andrew Wantz

144th out of 436 (Best 34%)

Andrew Wantz

matchup for F. Alvarez

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Wantz

Francisco Alvarez has a 30.4% chance of reaching base vs Andrew Wantz, which is 0.5% higher than Alvarez's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Wantz.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.4%	19.8%	2.9%	4.5%	12.4%	10.6%	25.9%
Alvarez	+0.5	-2.3	+0.2	-0.8	-1.7	+2.8	-0.5
Wantz	-1.4	-0.5	-0.4	+0.2	-0.2	-0.9	+1.0

Francisco Alvarez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Andrew Wantz is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Alvarez has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Andrew Wantz throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Francisco Alvarez has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

45%

Slider (R)

25%

Cutter (R)

24%

Changeup (R)

9% of Andrew Wantz's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Francisco Alvarez hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 9%

+3%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Non-Competitive 13%

Mid Challenge 11%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

26% of Andrew Wantz's pitches are classified as Small Break Toward Third Base, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Francisco Alvarez has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Small Break 26%

+17%

Fastball (R) 69%

+15%

High Ride 22%

+12%

Medium Fast Velo 25%

+10%

15.9% of Francisco Alvarez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.1% higher than the league average. Andrew Wantz strikes out 20.2% of the batters he faces, which is 7.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.1% +7.5% 4%

Walk +0.8% +2.0% 41%

In Play -2.9% -9.5% 39%

On Base +0.9% -6.5% 31%

Hit +0.1% -8.5% 14%

Single -0.5% -4.3% 13%

2B / 3B +0.1% -3.9% 3%

Home Run +0.6% -0.3%

39.6% of Francisco Alvarez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. Andrew Wantz induces Standard Grounders at a 23.8% rate, which is 10.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% -0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.2% -10.6% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.4% -1.4% 14%

Low Screamer -3.1% +9.1% 9%

Rising Liner -0.9% -0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.7% +1.3% 3%

Likely Homer +0.7% -1.0% 1%

No Doubter +2.2% +1.0% 20%

Routine Flyout -4.6% -0.6% 3%

Pop up +1.4% +3.1%

29.5% of Francisco Alvarez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. 24.2% of batted balls allowed by Andrew Wantz are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.4% +3.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.6% +6.7% 18%

87 to 93 mph -7.3% -2.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.2% -7.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +5.2% -0.1%

8.5% of Francisco Alvarez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.9% lower than the league average. 14.7% of batted balls allowed by Andrew Wantz are hit at this angle, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%