Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Francisco Alvarez

matchup for S. Woods Rich.

134th out of 436 (Best 32%)

Simeon Woods Rich.

matchup for F. Alvarez

137th out of 567 (Best 25%)

Moderate advantage for Alvarez

Francisco Alvarez has a 32.0% chance of reaching base vs Simeon Woods Rich., which is 2.0% higher than Alvarez's typical expectations, and 2.0% lower than batters facing Woods Rich..

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.0%	24.2%	3.5%	5.2%	15.6%	7.8%	25.0%
Alvarez	+2.0	+2.1	+0.8	-0.1	+1.5	-0.1	-1.3
Woods Rich.	-2.0	-0.2	+0.1	+0.1	-0.5	-1.8	+3.3

Francisco Alvarez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Simeon Woods Rich. is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Alvarez has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

Simeon Woods Rich. throws a 4-seam fastball 40% of the time. Francisco Alvarez has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

40%

Slider (R)

30%

Changeup (R)

20%

Curve (R)

8% of Simeon Woods Rich.'s pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Francisco Alvarez hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 8%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Edge Painter 17%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Weak Challenge 8%

-1%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

21% of Simeon Woods Rich.'s pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 11% higher than the MLB average. Francisco Alvarez has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 21%

+11%

High Ride 20%

+10%

Offspeed (R) 20%

+8%

Breaking (R) 39%

+8%

15.9% of Francisco Alvarez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.1% higher than the league average. Simeon Woods Rich. strikes out 13.3% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.1% -3.3% 4%

Walk +0.8% +1.1% 41%

In Play -2.9% +2.2% 39%

On Base +0.9% +4.2% 31%

Hit +0.1% +3.1% 14%

Single -0.5% +0.8% 13%

2B / 3B +0.1% +1.3% 3%

Home Run +0.6% +1.0%

39.6% of Francisco Alvarez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. Simeon Woods Rich. induces Standard Grounders at a 33.3% rate, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% -0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.2% -1.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.4% -2.9% 14%

Low Screamer -3.1% +0.3% 9%

Rising Liner -0.9% -2.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.7% +1.7% 3%

Likely Homer +0.7% +0.0% 1%

No Doubter +2.2% +0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout -4.6% +2.1% 3%

Pop up +1.4% +2.4%

29.5% of Francisco Alvarez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. 17.3% of batted balls allowed by Simeon Woods Rich. are hit at above 100 mph, which is 7.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.4% -1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.6% -1.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph -7.3% +3.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.2% +6.4% 24%

Above 100 mph +5.2% -7.0%

8.5% of Francisco Alvarez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.9% lower than the league average. 12.3% of batted balls allowed by Simeon Woods Rich. are hit at this angle, which is 0.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%