Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Francisco Alvarez

matchup for Logan Allen

158th out of 436 (Best 37%)

Logan Allen

matchup for F. Alvarez

21st out of 567 (Best 5%)

Extreme advantage for Alvarez

Francisco Alvarez has a 35.9% chance of reaching base vs Logan Allen, which is 5.9% higher than Alvarez's typical expectations, and 1.2% lower than batters facing Allen.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	35.9%	23.2%	3.6%	5.9%	13.7%	12.7%	20.1%
Alvarez	+5.9	+1.1	+0.9	+0.6	-0.5	+4.9	-6.2
Allen	-1.2	-1.3	-0.2	+0.1	-1.2	+0.1	+2.9

Francisco Alvarez is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Logan Allen is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Alvarez doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Logan Allen throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Francisco Alvarez has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

47%

Slider (L)

22%

Changeup (L)

19%

Cutter (L)

11%

7% of Logan Allen's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Francisco Alvarez hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 7%

+2%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Mid Challenge 11%

+0%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Non-Competitive 12%

Edge Painter 17%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-2%

31% of Logan Allen's pitches are classified as Medium Velocity, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Francisco Alvarez has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Velo 31%

+16%

Small Break 21%

+13%

Medium Drop 22%

+9%

15.9% of Francisco Alvarez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.1% higher than the league average. Logan Allen strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 4.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.1% -4.2% 4%

Walk +0.8% +1.6% 41%

In Play -2.9% +2.6% 39%

On Base +0.9% +1.5% 31%

Hit +0.1% -0.1% 14%

Single -0.5% -1.0% 13%

2B / 3B +0.1% -0.5% 3%

Home Run +0.6% +1.4%

39.6% of Francisco Alvarez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. Logan Allen induces Standard Grounders at a 33.5% rate, which is 1.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% +1.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.2% -1.0% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.4% +0.7% 14%

Low Screamer -3.1% -3.2% 9%

Rising Liner -0.9% +0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.7% +0.2% 3%

Likely Homer +0.7% +2.2% 1%

No Doubter +2.2% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -4.6% -1.6% 3%

Pop up +1.4% +1.4%

29.5% of Francisco Alvarez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. 33.7% of batted balls allowed by Logan Allen are hit at above 100 mph, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.4% +0.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.6% -2.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -7.3% -2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.2% -4.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +5.2% +9.4%

8.5% of Francisco Alvarez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.9% lower than the league average. 9.8% of batted balls allowed by Logan Allen are hit at this angle, which is 1.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%