Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Francisco Alvarez

matchup for Logan Webb

230th out of 436 (Worst 47%)

Logan Webb

matchup for F. Alvarez

204th out of 567 (Best 37%)

Moderate advantage for Alvarez

Francisco Alvarez has a 32.0% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 2.0% higher than Alvarez's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Webb.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.0%	25.7%	2.3%	5.7%	17.7%	6.2%	24.9%
Alvarez	+2.0	+3.6	-0.4	+0.4	+3.6	-1.6	-1.5
Webb	-0.2	+1.0	-0.1	+0.5	+0.6	-1.2	+2.9

Francisco Alvarez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Alvarez has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Francisco Alvarez has a B grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

36%

Changeup (R)

34%

Slider (R)

25%

13% of Logan Webb's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Francisco Alvarez has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+5%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Likely Ball 19%

Strong Challenge 5%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 3%

-4%

47% of Logan Webb's pitches are classified as Medium Drop, which is 34% higher than the MLB average. Francisco Alvarez has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Drop 47%

+34%

Offspeed (R) 34%

+23%

Extreme Break 24%

+9%

Medium Fast Velo 24%

+9%

15.9% of Francisco Alvarez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.1% higher than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.1% -0.8% 4%

Walk +0.8% -2.4% 41%

In Play -2.9% +3.2% 39%

On Base +0.9% +1.6% 31%

Hit +0.1% +4.0% 14%

Single -0.5% +2.5% 13%

2B / 3B +0.1% +2.8% 3%

Home Run +0.6% -1.3%

39.6% of Francisco Alvarez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. Logan Webb induces Standard Grounders at a 44.3% rate, which is 9.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% +0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.2% +9.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.4% +1.1% 14%

Low Screamer -3.1% -3.8% 9%

Rising Liner -0.9% +2.9% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.7% +0.2% 3%

Likely Homer +0.7% -1.3% 1%

No Doubter +2.2% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -4.6% -7.2% 3%

Pop up +1.4% -1.4%

29.5% of Francisco Alvarez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. 27.9% of batted balls allowed by Logan Webb are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.4% +0.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.6% -3.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -7.3% -1.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.2% +0.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +5.2% +3.6%

8.5% of Francisco Alvarez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.9% lower than the league average. 6.6% of batted balls allowed by Logan Webb are hit at this angle, which is 4.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%