Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Francisco Alvarez

matchup for Jose Berrios

97th out of 436 (Best 23%)

Jose Berrios

matchup for F. Alvarez

293rd out of 567 (Worst 49%)

Leans in favor of Berrios

Francisco Alvarez has a 30.6% chance of reaching base vs Jose Berrios, which is 0.6% higher than Alvarez's typical expectations, and 1.7% lower than batters facing Berrios.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.6%	24.3%	2.5%	5.0%	16.8%	6.3%	25.6%
Alvarez	+0.6	+2.1	-0.2	-0.3	+2.7	-1.5	-0.8
Berrios	-1.7	-0.4	-0.4	-0.2	+0.2	-1.3	+3.5

Francisco Alvarez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jose Berrios is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Alvarez has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Jose Berrios throws a Sinker 30% of the time. Francisco Alvarez has a B grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

30%

Curve (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

23%

Changeup (R)

16%

18% of Jose Berrios's pitches are classified as Edge Painters, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Francisco Alvarez has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Mid Challenge 11%

Meatball 4%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

31% of Jose Berrios's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Francisco Alvarez has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 31%

+17%

Low Ride 39%

+15%

Very Slow Velo 26%

+12%

15.9% of Francisco Alvarez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.1% higher than the league average. Jose Berrios strikes out 15.4% of the batters he faces, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.1% +0.7% 4%

Walk +0.8% -0.8% 41%

In Play -2.9% +0.1% 39%

On Base +0.9% -0.3% 31%

Hit +0.1% +0.6% 14%

Single -0.5% +0.1% 13%

2B / 3B +0.1% +0.4% 3%

Home Run +0.6% +0.2%

39.6% of Francisco Alvarez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. Jose Berrios induces Standard Grounders at a 34.7% rate, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% -0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.2% +0.2% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.4% -0.7% 14%

Low Screamer -3.1% -0.4% 9%

Rising Liner -0.9% +1.6% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.7% +0.5% 3%

Likely Homer +0.7% +0.5% 1%

No Doubter +2.2% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -4.6% -1.5% 3%

Pop up +1.4% -0.1%

29.5% of Francisco Alvarez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. 26.4% of batted balls allowed by Jose Berrios are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.4% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.6% -1.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -7.3% -0.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.2% -1.0% 24%

Above 100 mph +5.2% +2.1%

8.5% of Francisco Alvarez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.9% lower than the league average. 11.9% of batted balls allowed by Jose Berrios are hit at this angle, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%