Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Francisco Alvarez

matchup for Tyler Anderson

145th out of 436 (Best 34%)

Tyler Anderson

matchup for F. Alvarez

179th out of 567 (Best 32%)

Moderate advantage for Alvarez

Francisco Alvarez has a 32.0% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 2.0% higher than Alvarez's typical expectations, and 1.7% lower than batters facing Anderson.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.0%	21.6%	2.9%	5.2%	13.4%	10.5%	24.3%
Alvarez	+2.0	-0.6	+0.2	-0.1	-0.7	+2.6	-2.0
Anderson	-1.7	-0.7	0.0	+0.0	-0.7	-1.0	+2.8

Francisco Alvarez is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Alvarez doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Francisco Alvarez has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

38%

Changeup (L)

32%

Cutter (L)

22%

Sinker (L)

7% of Tyler Anderson's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Francisco Alvarez hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 7%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 7%

-2%

32% of Tyler Anderson's pitches are classified as Offspeed Pitches, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Francisco Alvarez hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Offspeed (L) 32%

+19%

Low Ride 40%

+17%

Fastball (L) 67%

+12%

Extreme Slow Velo 20%

+11%

Large Break 31%

+9%

15.9% of Francisco Alvarez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.1% higher than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.1% -1.9% 4%

Walk +0.8% -1.0% 41%

In Play -2.9% +2.9% 39%

On Base +0.9% -0.1% 31%

Hit +0.1% +0.9% 14%

Single -0.5% +0.5% 13%

2B / 3B +0.1% +0.6% 3%

Home Run +0.6% -0.2%

39.6% of Francisco Alvarez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. Tyler Anderson induces Standard Grounders at a 30.6% rate, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.2% -3.8% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.4% -1.8% 14%

Low Screamer -3.1% +1.6% 9%

Rising Liner -0.9% +1.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.7% -0.2% 3%

Likely Homer +0.7% +0.2% 1%

No Doubter +2.2% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -4.6% +1.5% 3%

Pop up +1.4% +1.9%

29.5% of Francisco Alvarez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. 23.0% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Anderson are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.4% +2.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.6% +0.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -7.3% +1.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.2% -2.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +5.2% -1.3%

8.5% of Francisco Alvarez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.9% lower than the league average. 11.7% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Anderson are hit at this angle, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +4.3% -3.6% 12%

-10 to 0° +3.5% -1.6% 8%

1 to 6° -3.4% +0.2% 18%

7 to 18° -1.8% +1.2% 15%

19 to 28° -0.3% +0.1% 11%

29 to 38° -2.9% +0.3% 7%

39 to 50° -2.0% +0.6% 8%

Above 50° +2.6% +2.8%

Francisco Alvarez has 3 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	0.333
Expected From Contact →			1.02	0.00	0.02	1.00			0.339

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-08-02	Groundout			3%	97%
2024-08-02	Single		1%	87%	12%
2024-08-02	Pop Out			10%	89%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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