Matchup Machine

Noelvi Marte

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matchup for Seth Lugo

54th out of 436 (Best 13%)

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Seth Lugo

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matchup for Noelvi Marte

297th out of 567 (Worst 48%)

Moderate advantage for Lugo
4

Model Prediction

Noelvi Marte has a 27.9% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 0.2% higher than Marte's typical expectations, and 4.6% lower than batters facing Lugo.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.9%23.1%3.5%4.7%14.8%4.8%32.9%
Marte-0.2+0.8+0.6-0.2+0.5-1.0+2.9
Lugo-4.6-0.9+0.4-0.2-1.1-3.7+8.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Noelvi Marte is better vs right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Marte has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Noelvi Marte has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
29%
   Curve (R)
28%
   Sinker (R)
17%
   Slider (R)
13%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

19.1% of Noelvi Marte's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout +3.8% +0.8% 6%         Walk -3.4% -2.3% 45%         In Play -0.5% +1.4% 39%         On Base -0.8% -0.4% 31%         Hit +2.6% +1.9% 14%         Single +1.4% +0.7% 13%         2B / 3B +1.8% +1.1% 3%         Home Run -0.6% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years