Matchup Machine

Noelvi Marte

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matchup for Aaron Nola

95th out of 436 (Best 23%)

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Aaron Nola

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matchup for Noelvi Marte

367th out of 567 (Worst 35%)

Moderate advantage for Nola
5

Model Prediction

Noelvi Marte has a 26.7% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 1.3% lower than Marte's typical expectations, and 2.7% lower than batters facing Nola.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.7%22.4%3.4%6.1%12.9%4.3%39.2%
Marte-1.3+0.2+0.5+1.2-1.5-1.5+9.2
Nola-2.7+0.0+0.4-0.1-0.3-2.8+8.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Noelvi Marte is better vs right-handed pitching. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Marte has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Noelvi Marte hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Kn-Curve (R)
30%
   4-Seam (R)
30%
   Sinker (R)
20%
   Changeup (R)
12%
   Cutter (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

19.1% of Noelvi Marte's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout +3.8% +6.3% 6%         Walk -3.4% -2.8% 45%         In Play -0.5% -3.5% 39%         On Base -0.8% -4.8% 31%         Hit +2.6% -2.0% 14%         Single +1.4% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +1.8% -0.7% 3%         Home Run -0.6% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years