Matchup Machine

Orelvis Martinez

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matchup for Aaron Nola

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Aaron Nola

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matchup for O. Martinez

425th out of 567 (Worst 25%)

Extreme advantage for Nola
9

Model Prediction

Orelvis Martinez has a 22.6% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 2.6% lower than Martinez's typical expectations, and 6.9% lower than batters facing Nola.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction22.6%17.4%2.7%4.4%10.4%5.2%39.5%
Martinez-2.6-1.0+0.6+0.7-2.3-1.6+7.5
Nola-6.9-5.0-0.3-1.9-2.8-1.9+8.6

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Aaron Nola throws a 4-seam fastball 30% of the time. Orelvis Martinez hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
30%
   Sinker (R)
20%

Contact and Outcomes

33.3% of Orelvis Martinez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.8% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 24%         Strikeout +8.8% +6.3% 8%         Walk -8.0% -2.8% 67%         In Play -0.8% -3.5% 39%         On Base +22.8% -4.8% 31%         Hit +30.8% -2.0% 14%         Single +16.7% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +17.1% -0.7% 3%         Home Run -3.1% -0.5%

History

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