Matchup Machine

Daniel Schneemann

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matchup for Seth Lugo

51st out of 436 (Best 12%)

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Seth Lugo

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matchup for D. Schneemann

183rd out of 567 (Best 33%)

Moderate advantage for Lugo
4

Model Prediction

Daniel Schneemann has a 30.4% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 2.2% higher than Schneemann's typical expectations, and 2.1% lower than batters facing Lugo.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.4%19.4%2.1%4.8%12.5%11.0%32.3%
Schneemann+2.2+1.80.0+0.7+1.1+0.4-1.1
Lugo-2.1-4.5-1.1-0.1-3.3+2.4+7.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Daniel Schneemann hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Schneemann doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Daniel Schneemann has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
29%
   Curve (R)
28%
   Sinker (R)
17%
   Slider (R)
13%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

24.5% of Daniel Schneemann's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.6% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout +7.6% +0.8% 5%         Walk +4.2% -2.3% 54%         In Play -11.7% +1.4% 39%         On Base -2.5% -0.4% 31%         Hit -6.6% +1.9% 14%         Single -3.0% +0.7% 13%         2B / 3B -2.5% +1.1% 3%         Home Run -1.1% +0.1%

History

Daniel Schneemann has 9 plate appearances against Seth Lugo in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 7 with 2 walks

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual970000420.000
Expected From Contact →0.720.000.010.720.103
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2025-03-29Strikeout
2025-03-29Strikeout
2024-09-04Strikeout
2024-09-04Groundout58%42%
2024-06-30Walk
2024-06-30Forceout4%96%
2024-06-30Strikeout
2024-06-04Groundout10%89%
2024-06-04Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.