Matchup Machine

David Fry

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matchup for Jared Jones

190th out of 436 (Best 44%)

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Jared Jones

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matchup for David Fry

369th out of 567 (Worst 35%)

Leans in favor of Jones
2

Model Prediction

David Fry has a 28.7% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 0.4% higher than Fry's typical expectations, and 2.4% lower than batters facing Jones.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.7%20.0%3.4%5.0%11.5%8.7%28.9%
Fry-0.4-1.4+0.2-0.2-1.4+0.9+4.1
Jones-2.4-0.9+0.4+0.0-1.3-1.5+0.4

Handedness and Release Point

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David Fry is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Fry has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. David Fry has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
35%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

14.7% of David Fry's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.2% higher than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.2% +0.4% 4%         Walk +0.9% +0.6% 40%         In Play -1.2% -1.1% 39%         On Base +3.0% -0.1% 31%         Hit +2.1% -0.8% 14%         Single 0.0% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +0.4% -0.5% 3%         Home Run +1.7% +0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years