Matchup Machine

David Fry

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matchup for Garrett Crochet

297th out of 436 (Worst 32%)

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Garrett Crochet

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matchup for David Fry

460th out of 567 (Worst 19%)

Moderate advantage for Crochet
5

Model Prediction

David Fry has a 27.0% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 2.1% lower than Fry's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Crochet.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.0%21.1%3.1%6.0%12.0%5.9%35.2%
Fry-2.1-0.20.0+0.8-0.9-1.9+10.3
Crochet-0.5+0.2+0.7+1.0-1.5-0.7-0.1

Handedness and Release Point

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David Fry is better vs left-handed pitching. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Fry doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. David Fry has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
58%
   Cutter (L)
18%
   Slider (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

14.7% of David Fry's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.2% higher than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.2% +9.4% 4%         Walk +0.9% -1.3% 40%         In Play -1.2% -8.1% 39%         On Base +3.0% -3.9% 31%         Hit +2.1% -2.5% 14%         Single 0.0% -1.4% 13%         2B / 3B +0.4% -1.1% 3%         Home Run +1.7% +0.1%

History

David Fry has 3 plate appearances against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.230.000.020.210.076
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-10Groundout21%79%
2024-05-10Flyout1%98%
2024-05-10Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.