Matchup Machine

David Fry

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matchup for Griffin Canning

77th out of 436 (Best 18%)

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Griffin Canning

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matchup for David Fry

331st out of 567 (Worst 42%)

Leans in favor of Canning
1

Model Prediction

David Fry has a 28.5% chance of reaching base vs Griffin Canning, which is 0.6% lower than Fry's typical expectations, and 4.6% lower than batters facing Canning.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.5%19.9%3.3%4.6%11.9%8.7%23.2%
Fry-0.6-1.5+0.1-0.6-1.0+0.9-1.6
Canning-4.6-1.8+0.5-0.3-2.0-2.7+1.8

Handedness and Release Point

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David Fry is worse vs right-handed pitching. Griffin Canning is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Fry has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Griffin Canning throws a 4-seam fastball 39% of the time. David Fry has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
39%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Changeup (R)
21%
   Curve (R)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

14.7% of David Fry's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.2% higher than the league average. Griffin Canning strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.2% -1.9% 4%         Walk +0.9% +0.3% 40%         In Play -1.2% +1.6% 39%         On Base +3.0% -0.8% 31%         Hit +2.1% -1.1% 14%         Single 0.0% -0.9% 13%         2B / 3B +0.4% -0.7% 3%         Home Run +1.7% +0.6%

History

No History in the last 3 years