James Outman has a 26.7% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 3.6% lower than Outman's typical expectations, and 3.1% lower than batters facing Weathers.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 26.7% | 16.9% | 1.9% | 4.7% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 40.2% |
Outman | -3.6 | -2.2 | -1.1 | +0.1 | -1.2 | -1.4 | +3.2 |
Weathers | -3.1 | -4.6 | -0.1 | -0.8 | -3.6 | +1.5 | +15.5 |
James Outman is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Outman doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.
Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. James Outman has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers
20.1% of James Outman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.3% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.
James Outman has 2 plate appearances against Ryan Weathers in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with 2 strikeouts.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2023-05-14 | Strikeout | ||||
2023-05-14 | Strikeout |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.