Matchup Machine

James Outman

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

16th out of 436 (Best 4%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for James Outman

483rd out of 567 (Worst 15%)

Strong advantage for Weathers
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Model Prediction

James Outman has a 26.7% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 3.6% lower than Outman's typical expectations, and 3.1% lower than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.7%16.9%1.9%4.7%10.3%9.8%40.2%
Outman-3.6-2.2-1.1+0.1-1.2-1.4+3.2
Weathers-3.1-4.6-0.1-0.8-3.6+1.5+15.5

Handedness and Release Point

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James Outman is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Outman doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. James Outman has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

20.1% of James Outman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.3% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 10%         Strikeout +9.3% -2.1% 3%         Walk +4.1% -0.6% 45%         In Play -13.4% +2.7% 39%         On Base -0.3% +0.9% 31%         Hit -4.5% +1.5% 14%         Single -2.6% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B -2.3% +1.2% 3%         Home Run +0.5% -0.5%

History

James Outman has 2 plate appearances against Ryan Weathers in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with 2 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000200.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-05-14Strikeout
2023-05-14Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.