Matchup Machine

James Outman

sometext

matchup for Garrett Crochet

32nd out of 436 (Best 8%)

sometext

Garrett Crochet

sometext

matchup for James Outman

552nd out of 567 (Worst 3%)

Extreme advantage for Crochet
10

Model Prediction

James Outman has a 23.8% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 6.5% lower than Outman's typical expectations, and 3.6% lower than batters facing Crochet.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction23.8%16.4%2.4%4.0%10.0%7.4%49.2%
Outman-6.5-2.7-0.6-0.6-1.5-3.8+12.3
Crochet-3.6-4.50.0-1.1-3.4+0.9+13.9

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

James Outman is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Outman doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Left Arrow
Show Vertical Release

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. James Outman has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
58%
   Cutter (L)
18%
   Slider (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

20.1% of James Outman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.3% higher than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 10%         Strikeout +9.3% +9.4% 3%         Walk +4.1% -1.3% 45%         In Play -13.4% -8.1% 39%         On Base -0.3% -3.9% 31%         Hit -4.5% -2.5% 14%         Single -2.6% -1.4% 13%         2B / 3B -2.3% -1.1% 3%         Home Run +0.5% +0.1%

History

James Outman has 1 plate appearance against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-06-13Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.