Matchup Machine

James Outman

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matchup for Tyler Duffey

57th out of 436 (Best 14%)

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Tyler Duffey

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matchup for James Outman

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Duffey
2

Model Prediction

James Outman has a 32.7% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Duffey, which is 2.3% higher than Outman's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Duffey.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.7%18.1%2.9%4.5%10.7%14.5%38.0%
Outman+2.3-1.0-0.1-0.1-0.7+3.3+1.1
Duffey-1.4-4.5+0.3-0.8-4.0+3.1+13.3

Handedness and Release Point

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James Outman is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Tyler Duffey is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Outman has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Duffey throws a Kn-Curve 42% of the time. James Outman hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Kn-Curve (R)
42%
   4-Seam (R)
40%
   Sinker (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

20.1% of James Outman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.3% higher than the league average. Tyler Duffey strikes out 17.0% of the batters he faces, which is 3.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 10%         Strikeout +9.3% +3.7% 3%         Walk +4.1% -2.4% 45%         In Play -13.4% -1.3% 39%         On Base -0.3% -5.5% 31%         Hit -4.5% -3.1% 14%         Single -2.6% -1.3% 13%         2B / 3B -2.3% -1.3% 3%         Home Run +0.5% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years